15 Sep · 10:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1642
3-2Final setsKocab won
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1667
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Benes at 51%. The actual result was Jan Kocab 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Pavel Benes favoured — closing 1.69
Total 75.5
84 points played
Set handicap
Pavel Benes −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Pavel Benes −1.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Kocab is favoured to win, below means Pavel Benes.
▲ Jan Kocabpre 53% → final 92%
Pavel Benes ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsKocab recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games