Bartlomiej Molka vs Maksim Ovcharenko

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15 Sep · 10:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka

ELO 1556

2-3Final setsOvcharenko won

🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko

ELO 1674

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 59%. The actual result was Maksim Ovcharenko 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Bartlomiej Molka — profile →Maksim Ovcharenko — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Maksim Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.47

Favourite won

Total 75.5

95 points played

Over

Set handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −4.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Maksim Ovcharenko.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 44% → final 1%

Maksim Ovcharenko ▼

Biggest swing 71 ptsOvcharenko recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games