15 Sept · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1687
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1654
FormLLWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.