15 Sept · 17:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇨🇿Radomir Benesz
ELO 1364
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ogrocki
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1370
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ogrocki
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H12-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.