15 Sept · 21:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1674
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zlamal
JZ
🇨🇿Jaromir Zlamal
ELO 1751
FormWLWLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kadavy🌟Kadavy covers set handicap as underdog 63% (60)
Fair odds · Zlamal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)