15 Sept · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1321
FormLLWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Mach
JM
🇨🇿Jakub Mach
ELO 1526
FormWWLLW
34%
66%
🌟Mach goes over total as favourite 65% (57)
Fair odds · Mach
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+205
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+205)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)