15 Sept · 22:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1458
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1465
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
🌟Dlask covers set handicap as underdog 63% (54)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H41-44
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.