15 Sept · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1398
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krcil
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1479
FormLWLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)