15 Sept · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1432
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zelezny
DZ
🇨🇿Daniel Zelezny
ELO 1528
FormWWLLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Zelezny
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H18-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-7)