15 Sept · 19:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1562
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Strejc
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1574
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Strejc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (51)
Fair odds · Strejc
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H24-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.