Maksim Ovcharenko vs Mateusz Burkacki

← TT Cup predictions

15 Sep · 12:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko

ELO 1678

3-1Final setsOvcharenko won

🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki

ELO 1481

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 70%. The actual result was Maksim Ovcharenko 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Maksim Ovcharenko — profile →Mateusz Burkacki — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Maksim Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.35

Favourite won

Total 74.5

64 points played

Under

Set handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Maksim Ovcharenko −6.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksim Ovcharenko is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Burkacki.

▲ Maksim Ovcharenkopre 68% → final 94%

Mateusz Burkacki ▼

Biggest swing 31 pts63 points · 4 games