15 Sept · 18:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1565
FormLWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Arkadiusz
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1349
FormWLLLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Arkadiusz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+216
H2H46-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+216)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-16)