15 Sept · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1349
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Komorowicz
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1446
FormLLLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Komorowicz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H16-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-12)