15 Sept · 21:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1711
FormWWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Moravec
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1588
FormLWWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+123
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)