16 Sept · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1614
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Macurak
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1511
FormLWLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H9-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)