16 Sept · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1511
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Slavik
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1572
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (44)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)