16 Sept · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1502
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1539
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (110)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.