16 Sept · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1571
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pawlik
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1512
FormWWLWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Moravec🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (70)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)