16 Sept · 15:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1544
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Branny
MH
🇨🇿Michal Henzel
ELO 1468
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Henzel🌟Branny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (43)
Fair odds · Branny
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)