16 Sept · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1714
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1620
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)