16 Sept · 16:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1555
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dzida
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1479
FormWWLLL
56%
44%
🌟Konvicka covers set handicap as underdog 65% (52)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)