16 Sept · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1533
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Neterda
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1428
FormLWWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)