16 Sept · 12:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MO
🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko
ELO 1699
FormWWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Ovcharenko
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1544
FormWLLWL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Ovcharenko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+155
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)