16 Sept · 22:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
CK
🇨🇿Christian Kratochvil
ELO 1481
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kratochvil
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1472
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Kratochvil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (72)
Fair odds · Kratochvil
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.