16 Sept · 23:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1532
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Barsa
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Barsa
ELO 1576
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vyskocil🌟Barsa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (84)
Fair odds · Barsa
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H21-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.