16 Sept · 23:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1487
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zapala
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1426
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Zapala
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H50-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-36)