17 Sept · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1574
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Slavik
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1532
FormWLWWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (47)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.