17 Sept · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1610
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fitl
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1559
FormWWWWW
54%
46%
🌟Neterda covers set handicap as underdog 67% (46)
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H4-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.