17 Sept · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1536
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Precek
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1494
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
🌟Kantor covers set handicap as underdog 64% (83)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.