17 Sept · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1475
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1538
FormLLLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)