17 Sept · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1559
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Neterda
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1513
FormWWWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.