17 Sept · 09:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1475
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1607
FormLWWWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+132
H2H31-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)