17 Sept · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1532
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Benes
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1526
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 64% (70)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H12-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.