17 Sept · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1513
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1610
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)