17 Sept · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1402
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chlad
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1461
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Chlad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (51)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)