17 Sept · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1394
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kral
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1492
FormWLLLL
42%
58%
🌟Kral goes over total as favourite 73% (75)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H21-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)