17 Sept · 13:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1536
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1564
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (72)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.