17 Sept · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1630
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Macurak
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1561
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Krenek goes over total as underdog 67% (90)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H14-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-11)