17 Sept · 14:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1538
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jr
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1494
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Kantor covers set handicap as underdog 64% (83)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H14-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.