17 Sept · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1607
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rek
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1511
FormWLWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H38-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-25)