17 Sept · 13:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1494
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1564
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (72)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H12-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-9)