17 Sept · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1574
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Slavik
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1538
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (47)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.