17 Sept · 15:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1455
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Baros
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1510
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Cizek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (100)
Fair odds · Baros
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.