17 Sept · 16:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1530
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sykora
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1490
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
🌟Dvorak covers set handicap as underdog 64% (74)
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.