17 Sept · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1406
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Motacek
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1490
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Motacek covers set handicap as favourite 69% (16)
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)