17 Sept · 16:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1565
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chaloupka
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1561
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Krenek goes over total as underdog 67% (90)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H13-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.