17 Sept · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1455
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Molin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1525
FormLWLLL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Cizek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (100)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)