17 Sept · 17:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1623
FormWLLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1744
FormLLLWW
40%
60%
🌟Bochnak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (114)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H66-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (66-51)