17 Sept · 18:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1530
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sykora
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1507
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Hendrych covers set handicap as underdog 69% (87)
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H20-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.