17 Sept · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1476
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krcil
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1406
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Krcil stays under total as favourite 63% (19)
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)